What's the Rush, RI?

Advocating for Evidence Based Marijuana Policy

Recidivism Assumption

ASSUMPTION: 

REDUCED PRISON POPULATIONS & LOWER RECIDIVISM RATES WILL RESULT IN LOWER COSTS & SUBSTANTIAL REDUCTION IN CRIME RATES

Proponents assert that legalization will result in reduced prison populations.  However, the implications of research on recidivism risk currently applied in the Post Conviction Risk Assessment by Federal probation and parole officials indicates that Substance Dependence is a leading factor predicting criminal behavior and subsequent re-incarceration (see Figure Below). This reality seems logically inconsistent with the assumption that more liberal access to MJ will result in reduced crime & lower prison populations especially given the increased contribution to impaired impulse control and risky behavior observed in MJ users.

Therefore it seems reasonable to ask:

“In light of the apparent relationship between Substance Dependence and Criminal Behavior, why is it assumed there will be significant cost savings regardless of whether the individual is re-incarcerated or, instead, is required to undergo intensive individual outpatient treatment to address chronic Substance Dependence?”

Criminogenic Risk

The above figure was presented at the Annual Meeting of the New England Council on Crime and Delinquency in Providence, October 2013

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